
The US National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration forecasts a very strong El Niño will emerge in the Pacific Ocean between June and August 2024, persisting until end of 2026. Current neutral conditions will transition to El Niño during this period. NOAA's April 9 bulletin notes early signs emerged as sea surface temperatures rose across equatorial Pacific regions. El Niño typically causes extreme heat, drought, and below-average rainfall globally. India's RBI governor expressed concerns about potential inflation impacts and monsoon effects on kharif crop production.