
Skymet projects 2026 monsoon rainfall at 94% of long-period average, below normal levels. El Niño conditions expected during early monsoon phase will likely weaken precipitation. Central, western India face inadequate rainfall. Punjab, Haryana, Rajasthan expect below-normal rains August-September. Eastern regions better positioned. 30% drought probability, 40% below-normal chance. IMD to release official forecast this month.